Brazil’s Coffee Market Gains Momentum as Prices and Dollar Shift on October 8, 2025

Brazil’s coffee market sees increased trading on October 8, 2025, driven by rising prices in New York and a strengthening dollar, despite previous regional price declines.

    Key details

  • • On October 8, 2025, Brazil’s physical coffee market activity increased due to rising prices in New York and a stronger dollar.
  • • Prices of arabica and conilon coffee declined on October 7 in Minas Gerais and Espírito Santo regions.
  • • Certified coffee stocks in New York warehouses decreased to 534,665 sacks.
  • • ICE December 2025 coffee futures rose 1.65% to 381.60 cents per pound, with the commercial dollar up 0.19% to R$5.3617.

On October 8, 2025, Brazil's coffee market is experiencing heightened trading activity following a rise in prices at the New York Stock Exchange (ICE Futures US) and an appreciation of the dollar against the Brazilian real. The stronger dollar and bullish trends in global coffee futures have encouraged greater producer participation in the physical coffee market across Brazil.

On the previous day, prices had decreased across key regions. In southern Minas Gerais, good quality arabica coffee traded between R$2,210.00 and R$2,220.00 per sack, down from R$2,240.00–2,250.00. Similar declines affected the cerrado region and Zona da Mata, where arabica coffee reached R$2,220.00–2,230.00 and R$1,580.00–1,600.00 respectively. Conilon coffee type 7 in Espírito Santo also saw prices dip to R$1,375.00–1,385.00 from previous higher levels. The subdued trading in Varginha was influenced by a local holiday, with many trading floors remaining quiet.

Certified coffee stocks at New York warehouses dropped by 471 sacks to 534,665, reflecting continued market shifts. The ICE recorded a 1.65% increase in the December 2025 coffee contract to 381.60 cents per pound, rebounding from a prior 1.6% down day. Additionally, Brazil's commercial dollar appreciated by 0.19% to R$5.3617, reinforcing favorable export conditions.

Mixed performance in global markets was noted, with Asian stocks generally declining, while European markets rose. The coffee market's bullish sentiment on October 8 contrasts with the previous day’s price falls, illustrating the dynamic nature of Brazil’s coffee sector amid financial and currency fluctuations.

This evolving scenario highlights Brazil’s critical role in the global coffee trade and the sensitivity of its markets to international commodity prices and currency movements.