Lula's Fossil Fuel Plan Elevates Political Stakes at COP30 and Sets Course for Future Debates

Brazil's Lula brought new political focus to COP30 with his fossil fuel phase-out proposal, sparking debates and paving the way for continued climate discussions through to COP31.

    Key details

  • • Lula's fossil fuel phase-out plan introduced significant political discourse at COP30, despite not being adopted in final decisions.
  • • The plan faced opposition from major fossil fuel producers such as Saudi Arabia, China, and Nigeria, with a close vote of 85 to 80.
  • • André Corrêa do Lago will lead ongoing efforts to develop a technical roadmap on fossil fuel phase-out for presentation at COP31 in 2026.
  • • The inclusion of OPEC and experts from the oil and gas industry is proposed to foster comprehensive, rational discussions on climate transition.

The COP30 climate conference in Belém saw Brazilian President Lula’s proposal on phasing out fossil fuels emerge as a pivotal political theme, despite not being included in the final consensus. André Corrêa do Lago, president of the conference, highlighted that Lula’s plan gave a new political dimension to the discussions. The plan encountered strong opposition from major fossil fuel producers, including Saudi Arabia, China, and Nigeria, reflecting a narrow margin in support with votes tallying 85 to 80. This resistance underscored the ongoing geopolitical complexities in global climate negotiations.

Although the fossil fuel roadmap did not become a binding resolution under the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) or the Paris Agreement, it sparked extensive diplomatic engagements and parallel meetings, marking it as a key topic at COP30. Corrêa do Lago affirmed that work on the roadmap would continue leading up to COP31 in Turkey in 2026, where a technical document will be presented. This process will involve experts and stakeholders from the oil and gas sector, with suggestions to include the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) as a key information source, echoing past cooperative climate finance initiatives.

This approach aims to broaden perspectives and foster a more rational, inclusive dialogue around fossil fuel phase-out, signifying an evolution in Brazil’s leadership role on climate policy. Meanwhile, COP30 also emphasized youth engagement, particularly through the COP das Crianças initiative, which sought to integrate children's voices and rights more systematically into climate policymaking, reinforcing the conference’s broader political and social impact.

Overall, Lula’s fossil fuel plan at COP30 has catalyzed a sustained political conversation on energy transition, indicating that despite obstacles, Brazil is positioning itself as a central actor in shaping future climate agendas.

This article was synthesized and translated from native language sources to provide English-speaking readers with local perspectives.