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Ethanol Blend Increase in Gasoline Sparks Political Battle Amid Brazil's Presidential Race

The political debate over increasing ethanol in Brazil's gasoline highlights contrasting views between Flávio Bolsonaro and Lula, amid the upcoming presidential election and Brazil's biofuel ambitions.

    Key details

  • • Brazil increased ethanol blend in gasoline from 30% to 32%, targeting import reduction of 900 million liters annually.
  • • Agribusiness and government tests support the safety and efficacy of the ethanol increase.
  • • Senator Flávio Bolsonaro opposes the measure, criticizing it as a consumer loss and raising engine damage concerns.
  • • The debate ties closely to Brazil's 2026 presidential election, with Bolsonaro leading polls in Paraná and Lula advocating for sustainable fuel expansion.

Brazil's recent decision to increase the ethanol blend in gasoline from 30% to 32% as of August has ignited a significant political controversy during the current presidential election. This move, intended as a temporary measure for 180 days with a potential six-month extension, aims to cut down about 900 million liters of gasoline imports annually, reducing Brazil's exposure to volatile global oil markets. The country already holds the world's highest mandatory ethanol blend, a milestone underscoring its position as a global leader in low-carbon fuels.

The agribusiness sector broadly supports the increase, seeing it as a boost to Brazil's expanding biofuel industry. Technical assessments from the Ministry of Mines and Energy confirm the safety of the new blend, with tests on multiple car and motorcycle models showing no engine damage, though a minor reduction in fuel efficiency is expected. Notably, most Brazilian vehicles are flex-fuel, designed to use any ethanol-gasoline combinations effectively. Six major industry groups have rejected criticisms likening the blend increase to “shrinkflation,” emphasizing that it preserves a long-standing, environmentally significant policy.

However, prominent right-wing senator and presidential hopeful Flávio Bolsonaro has sharply criticized the measure, comparing it to products shrinking due to inflation and arguing that consumers should get the gasoline they pay for. His opposition is echoed by some entities and proposed legislative actions seeking to revoke the ethanol increase. Bolsonaro, who leads in Paraná according to recent polls, emphasizes support for ethanol but advocates alternative policies to bolster the sector.

This debate unfolds as Brazil intensifies its global biofuel presence, attracting record investments and aligning with its climate commitments under the Paris Agreement. The government's Fuel Future Law of 2024 allows ethanol content adjustments between 22% and 35%, provided technical criteria are met, with future increases under evaluation.

Despite political frictions, analysts anticipate continuity in biofuel policy post-election, given strong sector and congressional backing. President Lula appears focused on expanding sustainable fuel production and exports as part of a broader industrial strategy, while Bolsonaro's challenge reflects populist apprehensions amid this transition stage.

This article was translated and synthesized from Brazilian sources, providing English-speaking readers with local perspectives.

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