Brazilian Senate Discusses Urgent Preparations for Intensifying El Niño Effects

The Brazilian Senate held a thematic discussion on the impending El Niño phenomenon, emphasizing urgent preparation and improved prevention policies to mitigate its severe impacts across the country.

    Key details

  • • El Niño is expected to be more intense in 2026, with heavy rains in the South and droughts in the North and Northeast.
  • • There is a 92% to 98% probability of El Niño occurring in the coming months and by the end of 2026, respectively.
  • • Senator Hermes Klann highlighted the shift to a new climate reality requiring proactive governmental action.
  • • The government is committed to monitoring the situation and updating preparedness strategies, particularly for regions vulnerable to drought, flooding, and wildfires.

Brazil is facing the prospect of a notably intense El Niño phenomenon this year, which is expected to cause severe climatic disruptions including heavy rains in the South and drought conditions in the North and Northeast. On May 28, the Brazilian Senate held a thematic session that brought together senators, climate experts, and government officials to discuss how the country should better prepare and strengthen its policies to mitigate the impacts of this climate event.

Senator Hermes Klann emphasized that El Niño is a well-established climate pattern and highlighted that Brazil is no longer experiencing isolated weather events but a "new climate reality” driven by global warming. He underlined the urgent need for proactive measures based on existing scientific data.

Researcher Carlos Nobre noted that there is currently a 92% chance of El Niño beginning in the coming months, increasing to 98% by the end of the year. He warned that 2027 could become the hottest year on record due to rising global temperatures intensifying climate phenomena. Nobre also pointed to regional risks, especially for vulnerable populations subject to drought and flooding.

Regina Célia dos Santos from the Ministry of Science and Technology reiterated the government's commitment to ongoing monitoring of the El Niño phenomenon, emphasizing efforts to minimize its impact, particularly the increased risk of wildfires in the Amazon region and potential effects across Southern Brazil.

Senator Hamilton Mourão called attention to the need for effective mitigation strategies, including updated climate parameters to be integrated into federally funded public works and urban planning. He stressed that cities must be better prepared for potential climate-related disasters.

The Senate session aimed to consolidate information and promote dialogue about preventive actions to protect agriculture, water supplies, and communities most at risk. Its outcomes will help guide future governmental policies to strengthen Brazil's resilience to extreme weather events intensified by climate change.

This article was translated and synthesized from Brazilian sources, providing English-speaking readers with local perspectives.

Source comparison

Date of Senate session

Sources report different dates for the Senate session discussing El Niño.

www12.senado.leg.br

"During a thematic session held by the Senate on Thursday."

www12.senado.leg.br

"During a thematic session in the Senate on October 28."

Why this matters: One source states the session occurred on Thursday, May 28, 2026, while the other claims it was on October 28, 2026. This discrepancy affects the timeline of the discussion regarding El Niño preparations.